fd48 · Polymarket wallet 0x5930…236a

Wallet snapshot

fd48 has made 512 trades on Polymarket across 86 markets, $13K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (57%) and tech (13%). On 77 resolved markets the win rate is 77.9%, lifetime P&L +$1,467. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: May 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $104 · 98¢ → 100¢

Latest closed positions

• Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?No · +$24 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · +$2 · May 14, 2026
• Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?No · +$2 · Apr 9, 2026
• Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?No · +$3 · Apr 1, 2026
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?No · +$22 · Mar 9, 2026
• Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Yes · +$47 · Mar 6, 2026
• Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings?Yes · +$3 · Mar 3, 2026
• Will the US strike Iran next?Yes · -$28 · Mar 2, 2026
• Will the US strike Iran next?No · +$2 · Mar 2, 2026
• Will the US strike Somalia next?No · +$19 · Mar 2, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.