Aruba · Polymarket wallet 0x5915…f0be

Wallet snapshot

Aruba has made 35 trades on Polymarket across 30 markets, $20K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (63%) and geopolitics (10%). On 30 resolved markets the win rate is 86.7%. It holds no open positions right now. Last trade: Jul 18, 2026.

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No · +$1 · Jul 18, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?No · +$0 · Jul 18, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No · -$16 · Mar 26, 2026
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 30?No · +$0 · Mar 2, 2026
• Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes · +$9 · Jan 30, 2026
• Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 5?No · +$0 · Dec 9, 2025
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 11?Yes · +$0 · Dec 5, 2025
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?No · +$0 · Nov 11, 2025
• Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4300 on August 17 at 5PM ET?No · +$0 · Sep 30, 2025
• Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on July 14?No · +$0 · Aug 17, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.