LesseJivermore · Polymarket wallet 0x5837…2daf

Wallet snapshot

LesseJivermore has made 573 trades on Polymarket across 21 markets, $153K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (33%) and crypto (29%). On 20 resolved markets the win rate is 60%, lifetime P&L +$15K. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?". Last trade: Feb 27, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No · $355 · 42¢ → 90¢
• Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes · $168 · 58¢ → 11¢

Latest closed positions

• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes · +$182 · Apr 1, 2026
• Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes · +$119 · Feb 28, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$300 · Feb 28, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes · +$700 · Feb 28, 2026
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes · -$360 · Feb 28, 2026
• US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes · +$446 · Jan 14, 2026
• Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes · +$61 · Jan 14, 2026
• Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes · +$778 · Jan 3, 2026
• Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes · +$13K · Jan 3, 2026
• Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? Yes · +$12K · Dec 30, 2025

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