Probable-Counterforce · Polymarket wallet 0x5740…efb5

Wallet snapshot

Probable-Counterforce has made 177 trades on Polymarket across 29 markets, $16K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (41%) and politics (35%). On 28 resolved markets the win rate is 71.4%, lifetime P&L +$101. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?". Last trade: Nov 30, 2025.

Largest open positions

• Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $343 · 95¢ → 94¢
• Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $23 · 5¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Xi Jinping out in 2025?No · +$2 · Aug 28, 2026
• Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?No · -$37 · Feb 23, 2026
• Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No · -$12 · Dec 28, 2025
• Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No · -$0 · Dec 10, 2025
• Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes · +$4 · Dec 3, 2025
• Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No · -$1 · Dec 1, 2025
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes · +$3 · Nov 30, 2025
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 29?No · +$8 · Nov 30, 2025
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 28?No · +$56 · Nov 29, 2025
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 27?No · +$40 · Nov 28, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.