mangostein · Polymarket wallet 0x544f…4cb9

Wallet snapshot

mangostein has made 1,190 trades on Polymarket across 254 markets, $12K in volume. Most of it is in politics (12%) and geopolitics (11%). On 17 resolved markets the win rate is 58.8%, lifetime P&L -$427. It holds 114 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 17?". Last trade: Oct 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 17?Yes · $25 · 36¢ → 62¢
• Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 230?Yes · $13 · 61¢ → 64¢
• Will KLA Corp (KLAC) Q1 total revenues be above $4.1B?Yes · $12 · 45¢ → 31¢
• Will GE Vernova (GEV) Q3 orders be above $20B?Yes · $12 · 61¢ → 60¢
• Will it rain in Dallas, TX on October 15?Yes · $11 · 58¢ → 57¢
• Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2027?Yes · $11 · 42¢ → 27¢
• Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPad revenue be above $7B?Yes · $8 · 33¢ → 38¢
• Will Blackstone (BX) Q3 total assets under management be above $1.38T?Yes · $8 · 33¢ → 38¢
• Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?Yes · $7 · 45¢ → 18¢
• Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · $7 · 75¢ → 36¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $201 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · +$9 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $224 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · +$7 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will Labor hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?Yes · -$1 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$4 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 15%-20%?Yes · -$3 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?Yes · -$2 · Oct 11, 2026

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