cardenasmanuel · Polymarket wallet 0x51f2…d19c

Wallet snapshot

cardenasmanuel has made 106 trades on Polymarket across 87 markets, $1,775 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (40%) and politics (16%). On 85 resolved markets the win rate is 89.4%, lifetime P&L -$10. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?No · $17 · 91¢ → 88¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $10 · 55¢ → 19¢
• Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?No · $4 · 51¢ → 14¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on September 30, 2026?No · +$16 · Oct 3, 2026
• Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego PadresNo · +$13 · Oct 2, 2026
• Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?No · +$6 · Sep 24, 2026
• Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No · +$2 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 14?No · -$13 · Sep 15, 2026
• Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?Yes · +$1 · Sep 8, 2026
• Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No · +$0 · Aug 29, 2026
• Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January?No · +$0 · Feb 1, 2026
• Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes · +$0 · Feb 1, 2026
• Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?No · +$0 · Feb 1, 2026

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