laozi3-48 · Polymarket wallet 0x514d…12a4

Wallet snapshot

laozi3-48 has made 62 trades on Polymarket across 19 markets, $23K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (47%) and crypto (37%). On 18 resolved markets the win rate is 94.4%. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Jul 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · $42 · 32¢ → 7¢

Latest closed positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes · +$187 · Aug 4, 2026
• Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$16 · Jun 30, 2026
• Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No · +$0 · Jun 2, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes · +$34 · Jun 1, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No · +$28 · May 24, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes · -$219 · May 24, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No · +$25 · May 23, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No · +$20 · May 16, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?No · +$0 · May 12, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$66 · May 10, 2026

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