nored · Polymarket wallet 0x506d…8f31

Wallet snapshot

nored has made 120 trades on Polymarket across 21 markets, $1,646 in volume. Most of it is in politics (43%) and crypto (33%). On 17 resolved markets the win rate is 76.5%. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Xi Jinping out before 2027?". Last trade: Jan 19, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $80 · 94¢ → 97¢
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $25 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $20 · 99¢ → 100¢
• Fed abolished before 2027?No · $11 · 97¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No · +$0 · Jan 19, 2026
• Trump out as President in 2025?No · +$0 · Jan 19, 2026
• Xi Jinping out in 2025?No · +$0 · Jan 19, 2026
• China coup attempt in 2025?No · +$0 · Jan 19, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in December 2025?Yes · $0 · Dec 26, 2025
• Xi Jinping out before October?No · +$0 · Nov 28, 2025
• Will Tether acquire Circle before September?No · +$0 · Nov 28, 2025
• Base airdrop in Q3 2025?No · +$3 · Nov 28, 2025
• Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?No · +$0 · Aug 11, 2025
• Base airdrop in 2024?No · +$1 · Mar 31, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.