whaleP3 · Polymarket wallet 0x4ff9…e515

Wallet snapshot

whaleP3 has made 750 trades on Polymarket across 123 markets, $14K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (72%) and politics (15%). On 109 resolved markets the win rate is 62.4%, lifetime P&L +$117. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes · $195 · 54¢ → 14¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?Yes · $44 · 13¢ → 7¢
• Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $18 · 2¢ → 2¢
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes · $17 · 8¢ → 2¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?Yes · $11 · 5¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No · -$3 · Jul 6, 2026
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes · -$6 · Jul 1, 2026
• Iran leadership change by June 30?No · +$3 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes · +$76 · Jun 30, 2026
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No · +$1 · Jun 28, 2026
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No · -$1 · Jun 26, 2026
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No · +$5 · Jun 26, 2026

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