Eliasdaw · Polymarket wallet 0x4fec…446b

Wallet snapshot

Eliasdaw has made 97 trades on Polymarket across 89 markets, $4,637 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (42%) and geopolitics (11%). On 86 resolved markets the win rate is 83.7%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?". Last trade: Oct 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?No · $8 · 100¢ → 100¢
• Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?No · $6 · 90¢ → 94¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?No · +$0 · Sep 4, 2026
• Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes · +$0 · Aug 21, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No · +$0 · Jul 30, 2026
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No · +$0 · Jun 6, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No · -$0 · May 22, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?Yes · +$0 · May 17, 2026
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?No · $0 · May 17, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No · +$0 · May 11, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on May 11?No · $0 · May 11, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?No · $0 · May 11, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.