930870 · Polymarket wallet 0x4fba…2cb0

Wallet snapshot

930870 has made 284 trades on Polymarket across 53 markets, $107K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (51%) and crypto (23%). On 50 resolved markets the win rate is 88%, lifetime P&L +$94. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?". Last trade: Nov 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?No · $63 · 93¢ → 98¢
• StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?No · $32 · 91¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?No · +$1 · Nov 2, 2026
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No · +$2 · Aug 28, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No · +$1 · Aug 28, 2026
• Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No · +$1 · Aug 28, 2026
• Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?No · +$2 · Jun 23, 2026
• MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No · +$3 · Jun 23, 2026
• Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?Yes · +$1 · Jun 23, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No · +$1 · Jun 23, 2026
• EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?No · +$1 · Apr 7, 2026
• Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?No · +$0 · Apr 7, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.