Penhollow · Polymarket wallet 0x4dc8…cc5f

Wallet snapshot

Penhollow has made 89 trades on Polymarket across 29 markets, $18K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (62%) and sports (24%). On 20 resolved markets the win rate is 55%, lifetime P&L -$1. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes · $5 · 95¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

• Israel military action against Yemen by August 31?Yes · $0 · Aug 6, 2026
• Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$9 · Aug 6, 2026
• Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?No · -$4 · Aug 3, 2026
• Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30?No · +$5 · Aug 3, 2026
• Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No · $0 · Aug 1, 2026
• US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No · $0 · Aug 1, 2026
• KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?No · +$1 · Jul 12, 2026
• Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?No · $0 · Jul 12, 2026
• Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?No · -$4 · Jul 11, 2026
• Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?No · $0 · Jul 11, 2026

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