Firm-Facsimile · Polymarket wallet 0x4c1c…3a01

60.5% win rate · 38 resolved markets · 0x4c1c9f14ddec6c0dd0a759c7db391cc179903a01

LIVE · AUTO-REFRESH 60S

Wallet snapshot

Firm-Facsimile has made 387 trades on Polymarket across 39 markets, $89K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (21%) and sports (18%). On 38 resolved markets the win rate is 60.5%. It holds no open positions right now. Last trade: Apr 7, 2026.

Latest closed positions

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes · +$122 · Apr 10, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes · +$23 · Apr 10, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes · -$11 · Apr 10, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No · +$1 · Apr 8, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes · -$4 · Apr 7, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes · +$199 · Apr 7, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes · -$275 · Apr 7, 2026
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes · -$72 · Apr 7, 2026
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes · +$28 · Apr 7, 2026
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes · +$10 · Apr 7, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.