hrdhgr · Polymarket wallet 0x4a99…e45c

Wallet snapshot

hrdhgr has made 165 trades on Polymarket across 137 markets, $25K in volume. Most of it is in politics (36%) and geopolitics (15%). On 131 resolved markets the win rate is 87.8%, lifetime P&L -$12. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No · $20 · 94¢ → 95¢
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?No · $16 · 89¢ → 94¢
• Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?No · $6 · 94¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?No · +$3 · Sep 18, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 18, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 10, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No · +$1 · Aug 10, 2026
• Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No · +$1 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?No · +$1 · Jul 29, 2026
• Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Jul 24, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No · +$1 · Jul 12, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 8, 2026

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