Long-Term-Estimate · Polymarket wallet 0x499f…b72b

−$1,596 lifetime P&L · 43.9% win rate · 592 resolved markets · 0x499f08abd85b182689df1f0a647ad5f8b315b72b

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Wallet snapshot

Long-Term-Estimate has made 1,354 trades on Polymarket across 596 markets, $92K in volume. Most of it is in sports (100%). On 592 resolved markets the win rate is 43.9%, lifetime P&L -$1,596. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Quintessence - Map 1 Winner". Last trade: Oct 23, 2026.

Largest open positions

Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Quintessence - Map 1 WinnerYes · $88 · 50¢ → 100¢

Latest closed positions

Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Dawn Bulls - Game 1 WinnerYes · +$146 · Oct 23, 2026
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsNo · -$104 · Oct 22, 2026
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Turma do Pagode - Map 2 WinnerYes · +$14 · Oct 22, 2026
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerYes · +$36 · Oct 22, 2026
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 1 WinnerNo · -$6 · Oct 22, 2026
Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs Falcons Force - Map 2 WinnerYes · +$157 · Oct 22, 2026
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Any Questions Gaming - Map 2 WinnerYes · +$7 · Oct 22, 2026
Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs Falcons Force - Map 1 WinnerYes · +$81 · Oct 22, 2026
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Spirit Academy - Map 2 WinnerYes · -$251 · Oct 22, 2026
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs salamit - Game 1 WinnerYes · +$67 · Oct 22, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.