Modest-Toad · Polymarket wallet 0x4892…8ee7

Wallet snapshot

Modest-Toad has made 72 trades on Polymarket across 23 markets, $1,200 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (26%) and politics (22%). On 23 resolved markets the win rate is 78.3%. It holds no open positions right now. Last trade: Jul 10, 2026.

Latest closed positions

• Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 11?No · $0 · Jul 11, 2026
• Iran successfully targets shipping on July 5?No · $0 · Jul 8, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on June 29?No · $0 · Jun 29, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or below on June 29?No · +$0 · Jun 29, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No · +$0 · Jun 17, 2026
• Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville StateYes · +$1 · Dec 30, 2025
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 29?Yes · +$1 · Dec 5, 2025
• Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes · +$1 · Nov 27, 2025
• Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?No · +$3 · Nov 16, 2025

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