MONGREEDF · Polymarket wallet 0x4886…8bd7

Wallet snapshot

MONGREEDF has made 93 trades on Polymarket across 17 markets, $2,367 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (35%) and sports (12%). On 14 resolved markets the win rate is 78.6%, lifetime P&L +$274. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes · $84 · 40¢ → 14¢
• Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes · $27 · 29¢ → 44¢
• Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes · $21 · 33¢ → 23¢

Latest closed positions

• Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 28?Yes · +$36 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will there be exactly 1 Codex weekly usage limit reset in the week of September 28?No · +$21 · Oct 3, 2026
• Over $45M committed to the Jumper public sale?Yes · +$81 · Oct 2, 2026
• Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?Yes · +$27 · Oct 2, 2026
• Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?No · +$6 · Oct 1, 2026
• Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No · +$24 · Oct 1, 2026
• Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?No · +$86 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will "Supergirl" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No · +$69 · Jun 29, 2026
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No · +$74 · Jun 13, 2026
• Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No · +$35 · May 24, 2026

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