bay-marin · Polymarket wallet 0x4858…8210

Wallet snapshot

bay-marin has made 38 trades on Polymarket across 19 markets, $91 in volume. Most of it is in politics (26%) and geopolitics (16%). On 12 resolved markets the win rate is 58.3%, lifetime P&L -$1. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?". Last trade: Oct 30, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes · $10 · 27¢ → 34¢
• Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $2 · 74¢ → 67¢
• Will Harry Kane win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award?Yes · $2 · 60¢ → 64¢
• Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes · $1 · 15¢ → 13¢

Latest closed positions

• Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Ying Zhang vs Alexandra ShubladzeYes · +$1 · Oct 31, 2026
• Brest: Stefano Travaglia vs Otto VirtanenYes · +$1 · Oct 30, 2026
• Ningbo: Jie Cui vs Petr Bar BiryukovNo · -$0 · Oct 30, 2026
• Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire LiuYes · +$2 · Oct 30, 2026
• Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo HumbertNo · -$1 · Oct 29, 2026
• Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Yes · -$2 · Oct 29, 2026
• W35 Kunshan: Zijun Jiang vs Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYAYes · -$1 · Oct 29, 2026
• Curitiba: Francesca Jones vs Marjorie SouzaNo · -$0 · Oct 29, 2026
• Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes · -$0 · Oct 29, 2026
• Pan Pacific Open: Elena Rybakina vs Yulia PutintsevaNo · -$1 · Oct 29, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.