53686 · Polymarket wallet 0x4594…a9f9

Wallet snapshot

53686 has made 81 trades on Polymarket across 53 markets, $2,671 in volume. Most of it is in sports (30%) and politics (28%). On 48 resolved markets the win rate is 83.3%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Sep 6, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $11 · 99¢ → 99¢
• Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $5 · 99¢ → 100¢
• Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $4 · 100¢ → 100¢

Latest closed positions

• Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 6, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes · +$0 · Sep 6, 2026
• Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 6, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 16, 2026
• Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes · +$2 · Jul 29, 2026
• Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Yes · +$1 · Jul 29, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 29, 2026
• Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · -$2 · Jun 28, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No · +$0 · Jun 20, 2026
• Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No · +$0 · Jun 20, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.