quiteimprobable · Polymarket wallet 0x44fd…b634

Wallet snapshot

quiteimprobable has made 7,744 trades on Polymarket across 149 markets, $2.4M in volume. Most of it is in sports (63%) and politics (7%). On 138 resolved markets the win rate is 64.5%, lifetime P&L +$242K. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House". Last trade: Jun 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes · $251 · 44¢ → 28¢

Latest closed positions

• Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No · +$296 · May 2, 2026
• UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)Yes · -$688 · Mar 30, 2026
• Spread: Rockets (-6.5)No · -$52K · Mar 30, 2026
• Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State CyclonesNo · -$53K · Mar 30, 2026
• Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan WolverinesNo · +$19K · Mar 30, 2026
• UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)No · +$5,477 · Mar 29, 2026
• UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)No · +$73K · Mar 29, 2026
• UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)Yes · +$19K · Mar 29, 2026
• St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue DevilsNo · +$197K · Mar 28, 2026
• Wild vs. PanthersYes · +$85K · Mar 27, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.