Ivankum · Polymarket wallet 0x442f…5db4

+$4 lifetime P&L · 80% win rate · 10 resolved markets · 0x442fd70cf52cbe359523ddcb3d911a0b331f5db4

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Wallet snapshot

Ivankum has made 54 trades on Polymarket across 27 markets, $68 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (88%). On 10 resolved markets the win rate is 80%, lifetime P&L +$4. It holds 16 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 19, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No · $5 · 97¢ → 97¢
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes · $1 · 21¢ → 28¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?Yes · $1 · 73¢ → 81¢
Will Euphoria rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?Yes · $1 · 52¢ → 56¢
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026?No · $1 · 92¢ → 94¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · $1 · 97¢ → 98¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?No · $1 · 99¢ → 99¢
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?No · $1 · 93¢ → 93¢
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $1 · 97¢ → 97¢
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026?No · $1 · 95¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Oct 19, 2026
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 19, 2026
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Oct 18, 2026
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Oct 17, 2026
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 15, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 16, 2026
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 15, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Oct 15, 2026
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 9, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 10, 2026

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