Macintosh-346 · Polymarket wallet 0x4418…2a10

Wallet snapshot

Macintosh-346 has made 323 trades on Polymarket across 89 markets, $21K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (26%) and crypto (21%). On 86 resolved markets the win rate is 61.6%, lifetime P&L +$482. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?". Last trade: Sep 20, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No · $3,022 · 75¢ → 74¢
• Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?No · $966 · 84¢ → 88¢
• Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No · $468 · 44¢ → 43¢

Latest closed positions

• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes · -$7 · Mar 1, 2026
• Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?No · +$3 · Feb 10, 2026
• Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by February 28?No · -$5 · Feb 10, 2026
• US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?No · +$2 · Feb 9, 2026
• Seahawks vs. PatriotsYes · +$0 · Feb 9, 2026
• Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes · +$1 · Feb 9, 2026
• US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?No · +$2 · Feb 8, 2026
• Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-07?Yes · +$2 · Feb 8, 2026
• US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No · +$4 · Feb 7, 2026
• Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?No · +$3 · Feb 6, 2026

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