zmkelley · Polymarket wallet 0x436e…4463

Wallet snapshot

zmkelley has made 120 trades on Polymarket across 40 markets, $35K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (28%) and geopolitics (20%). On 35 resolved markets the win rate is 74.3%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? ". Last trade: Sep 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No · $4 · 92¢ → 97¢
• Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?No · $4 · 94¢ → 97¢
• Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?No · $3 · 89¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · -$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · +$0 · Sep 4, 2026
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No · -$6 · Aug 12, 2026
• Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 22, 2026
• NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 22, 2026
• Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?No · +$0 · Jul 22, 2026
• Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No · +$0 · Jul 22, 2026
• 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?No · -$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Macron out by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.