Constant-Fortnight · Polymarket wallet 0x42ce…bdcf

Wallet snapshot

Constant-Fortnight has made 1,531 trades on Polymarket across 164 markets, $61K in volume. Most of it is in sports (73%) and geopolitics (6%). On 163 resolved markets the win rate is 57.1%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?". Last trade: Mar 6, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $75 · 89¢ → 98¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes · $2 · 17¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes · -$10 · Apr 1, 2026
• Thionville: Sebastian Ofner vs Jurij RodionovYes · +$219 · Mar 6, 2026
• Thionville: Hugo Gaston vs Moise KouameYes · +$193 · Mar 6, 2026
• Kigali: Stefano Napolitano vs Arthur GeaNo · -$454 · Mar 6, 2026
• BNP Paribas Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Aleksandar KovacevicYes · -$200 · Mar 6, 2026
• Jazz vs. WizardsNo · -$642 · Mar 6, 2026
• BNP Paribas Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Roberto Bautista AgutYes · -$1,082 · Mar 6, 2026
• BNP Paribas Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex MichelsenNo · +$27 · Mar 6, 2026
• BNP Paribas Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Darja VidmanovaYes · +$154 · Mar 6, 2026
• Fenerbahce vs. MonacoNo · -$329 · Mar 5, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.