nataliashmon · Polymarket wallet 0x41b5…0e50

Wallet snapshot

nataliashmon has made 46 trades on Polymarket across 27 markets, $6,046 in volume. Most of it is in sports (41%) and politics (11%). On 23 resolved markets the win rate is 82.6%, lifetime P&L +$2,038. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?". Last trade: Sep 27, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?No · $51 · 95¢ → 97¢
• Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?No · $51 · 94¢ → 95¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $31 · 95¢ → 93¢

Latest closed positions

• Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?No · +$0 · Sep 27, 2026
• Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes · +$2 · Aug 13, 2026
• Xi Jinping out by June 30?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Jun 10, 2026
• Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?No · +$1 · Jun 4, 2026
• U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?No · +$1 · Jun 1, 2026
• Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes · +$4 · May 31, 2026
• Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?No · +$0 · May 29, 2026
• Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?No · +$4 · May 21, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes · +$2 · May 20, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.