dafa4 · Polymarket wallet 0x4187…8739

Wallet snapshot

dafa4 has made 307 trades on Polymarket across 242 markets, $12K in volume. Most of it is in politics (22%) and geopolitics (18%). On 239 resolved markets the win rate is 85.8%, lifetime P&L +$140. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?". Last trade: Aug 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes · $6 · 77¢ → 96¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes · $5 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $4 · 89¢ → 97¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?No · $0 · 12¢ → 2¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes · $0 · 9¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes · +$0 · Aug 4, 2026
• Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes · -$1 · Aug 4, 2026
• Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No · +$2 · Jul 27, 2026
• Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 24, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No · +$1 · Jul 24, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 22, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 22, 2026
• Iran full airspace closure by July 21?No · +$1 · Jul 22, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 10, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 7, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.