Bogus-Numismatist · Polymarket wallet 0x411e…ea8b

Wallet snapshot

Bogus-Numismatist has made 409 trades on Polymarket across 103 markets, $14K in volume. Most of it is in sports (83%) and crypto (9%). On 93 resolved markets the win rate is 60.2%, lifetime P&L +$3,146. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?". Last trade: May 18, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No · $50 · 97¢ → 98¢
• Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $30 · 99¢ → 100¢
• Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $30 · 99¢ → 100¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $30 · 98¢ → 100¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $30 · 98¢ → 100¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $30 · 98¢ → 100¢
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $30 · 96¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes · +$150 · May 31, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?No · +$0 · Apr 16, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?No · +$0 · Apr 16, 2026
• Will Solana dip to $10 in March?No · +$0 · Apr 16, 2026
• Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?No · +$0 · Apr 16, 2026
• Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?No · +$0 · Apr 16, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?No · +$0 · Apr 16, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.