Alderford · Polymarket wallet 0x4091…2572

Wallet snapshot

Alderford has made 41 trades on Polymarket across 18 markets, $3,911 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (41%) and sports (35%). On 12 resolved markets the win rate is 58.3%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes · $4 · 61¢ → 45¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes · $3 · 83¢ → 72¢

Latest closed positions

• Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes · $0 · Jul 4, 2026
• Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$7 · Jul 3, 2026
• Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)No · +$20 · May 18, 2026
• Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No · $0 · May 18, 2026
• Spread: Konyaspor (-1.5)No · +$29 · May 17, 2026
• Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?Yes · +$0 · May 16, 2026
• Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Yes · +$1 · May 15, 2026
• Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?No · -$4 · May 13, 2026
• Spread: Pharco FC (-1.5)No · +$27 · May 13, 2026
• Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No · $0 · May 12, 2026

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