Cautious-Fail · Polymarket wallet 0x4058…7a1e

+$4 lifetime P&L · 55.7% win rate · 97 resolved markets · 0x4058e54164eaa1580cf9f300671abe3d0a567a1e

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Wallet snapshot

Cautious-Fail has made 285 trades on Polymarket across 101 markets, $3,898 in volume. Most of it is in sports (66%) and geopolitics (20%). On 97 resolved markets the win rate is 55.7%, lifetime P&L +$4. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?". Last trade: Sep 28, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes · $25 · 48¢ → 34¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No · $14 · 44¢ → 28¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes · $12 · 27¢ → 24¢
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes · $1 · 9¢ → 1¢

Latest closed positions

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · -$10 · Jul 19, 2026
Will England win on 2026-07-15?Yes · -$22 · Jul 19, 2026
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes · -$20 · Jul 15, 2026
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes · -$12 · Jul 15, 2026
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · -$12 · Jul 15, 2026
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · -$20 · Jul 15, 2026
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · -$0 · Jul 14, 2026
Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes · +$9 · Jul 9, 2026
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?Yes · +$10 · Jul 7, 2026
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?Yes · +$12 · Jul 7, 2026

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