Polymarket wallet 0x4047…9e98

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x4047…9e98 has made 82 trades on Polymarket across 43 markets, $155 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (23%) and politics (14%). On 38 resolved markets the win rate is 68.4%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?". Last trade: Oct 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?Yes · $1 · 23¢ → 27¢
• Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?Yes · $1 · 33¢ → 34¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 6, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?No · -$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 4, 2026
• Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?No · -$2 · Aug 28, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes · -$0 · Aug 23, 2026
• Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?No · +$2 · Aug 21, 2026
• US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No · +$2 · Aug 21, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.