firstmoney · Polymarket wallet 0x3e89…7480

Wallet snapshot

firstmoney has made 4,056 trades on Polymarket across 76 markets, $46K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (78%) and economics (7%). On 72 resolved markets the win rate is 91.7%. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Apr 28, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $53 · 78¢ → 96¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No · $50 · 72¢ → 91¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $50 · 63¢ → 91¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $39 · 91¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?No · +$68 · May 15, 2026
• MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No · +$37 · May 15, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 12-18?No · +$1 · May 15, 2026
• Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No · +$4 · May 15, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 12-18?No · +$1 · May 15, 2026
• Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?No · +$1 · May 15, 2026
• Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?No · +$3 · May 15, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 12-18?No · +$1 · May 15, 2026
• MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No · +$1 · May 1, 2026
• EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?No · +$2 · Apr 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.