Polymarket wallet 0x3d05…acde

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x3d05…acde has made 13,729 trades on Polymarket across 3,600 markets, $21K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (18%) and politics (12%). On 2,979 resolved markets the win rate is 55.1%, lifetime P&L +$691. It holds 32 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?". Last trade: Nov 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes · $2 · 6¢ → 8¢
• Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?Yes · $2 · 27¢ → 32¢
• Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?No · $2 · 30¢ → 28¢
• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 13, 2026?No · $2 · 24¢ → 37¢
• Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?Yes · $2 · 18¢ → 18¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026?Yes · $2 · 16¢ → 17¢
• 270-274 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot?Yes · $2 · 10¢ → 11¢
• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?Yes · $2 · 22¢ → 21¢
• Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?No · $2 · 17¢ → 17¢
• Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?Yes · $2 · 12¢ → 11¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on November 6?Yes · +$0 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will "Magan's Fare" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes · +$1 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.