Ardenleigh · Polymarket wallet 0x3c1c…4a61

Wallet snapshot

Ardenleigh has made 64 trades on Polymarket across 24 markets, $8,846 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (39%) and sports (35%). On 17 resolved markets the win rate is 70.6%, lifetime P&L +$213. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes · $3 · 83¢ → 73¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes · $3 · 61¢ → 44¢

Latest closed positions

• Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes · $0 · Jul 4, 2026
• Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?No · -$4 · Jul 3, 2026
• Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?No · +$1 · Jul 1, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No · $0 · Apr 21, 2026
• Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)No · +$16 · Apr 13, 2026
• Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)No · +$24 · Apr 12, 2026
• EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?Yes · +$2 · Apr 10, 2026
• Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No · -$7 · Apr 8, 2026
• Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No · $0 · Apr 6, 2026
• Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)No · +$12 · Apr 5, 2026

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