Polymarket wallet 0x3aa4…f2e1

+$10 lifetime P&L · 57.5% win rate · 146 resolved markets · 0x3aa49ffabd5490b23d7bf38da54ce806e3a0f2e1

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Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x3aa4…f2e1 has made 159 trades on Polymarket across 155 markets, $247 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (15%) and economics (13%). On 146 resolved markets the win rate is 57.5%, lifetime P&L +$10. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?No · $2 · 36¢ → 82¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?No · $1 · 56¢ → 59¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?No · $1 · 75¢ → 79¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?Yes · $1 · 24¢ → 25¢
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?No · $1 · 78¢ → 76¢
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?Yes · $1 · 25¢ → 24¢

Latest closed positions

Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?No · -$1 · Nov 12, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 11, 2026
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Nov 10, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?No · +$1 · Nov 10, 2026
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?No · +$2 · Nov 10, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?Yes · +$3 · Nov 9, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.