nightmareado · Polymarket wallet 0x3917…77bb

Wallet snapshot

nightmareado has made 108 trades on Polymarket across 53 markets, $1,851 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (25%) and politics (23%). On 51 resolved markets the win rate is 78.4%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?". Last trade: Jul 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes · $7 · 43¢ → 14¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes · $5 · 10¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes · +$4 · Sep 18, 2026
• GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Jul 9, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes · +$1 · Jun 30, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$11 · Jun 18, 2026
• Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?Yes · +$7 · May 22, 2026
• Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?Yes · +$4 · May 19, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes · +$29 · May 14, 2026
• Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes · -$1 · Apr 15, 2026
• Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?Yes · -$14 · Apr 15, 2026
• Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Yes · -$8 · Apr 15, 2026

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