Ideal-Bracket · Polymarket wallet 0x34f6…b30d

Wallet snapshot

Ideal-Bracket has made 304 trades on Polymarket across 50 markets, $33K in volume. Most of it is in economics (60%) and geopolitics (17%). On 36 resolved markets the win rate is 72.2%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?". Last trade: Sep 27, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes · $106 · 78¢ → 88¢
• Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?No · $3 · 73¢ → 80¢
• Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes · $1 · 15¢ → 12¢

Latest closed positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No · $0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No · +$15 · Jun 17, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes · +$13 · Jun 17, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No · $0 · Jun 1, 2026
• US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes · -$200 · Jun 1, 2026
• US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No · +$200 · Jun 1, 2026
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · -$1 · May 22, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No · $0 · May 18, 2026
• Iran closes its airspace by May 6?No · +$4 · May 7, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No · +$15 · May 1, 2026

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