Polymarket wallet 0x31d2…a540

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x31d2…a540 has made 116 trades on Polymarket across 58 markets, $145 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (14%) and politics (9%). On 52 resolved markets the win rate is 59.6%, lifetime P&L -$2. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?No · $2 · 60¢ → 98¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?Yes · $1 · 46¢ → 45¢
• Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?Yes · $1 · 72¢ → 68¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?No · $1 · 45¢ → 38¢
• Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026?No · $1 · 58¢ → 46¢
• Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes · $1 · 61¢ → 41¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?Yes · $0 · 32¢ → 14¢

Latest closed positions

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 5 2026?No · +$2 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $187.50 Week of October 5 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?No · -$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8?No · +$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of October 5 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.