new · Polymarket wallet 0x30a2…487d

Wallet snapshot

new has made 1,206 trades on Polymarket across 40 markets, $61K in volume. Most of it is in politics (35%) and geopolitics (20%). On 35 resolved markets the win rate is 65.7%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?". Last trade: Oct 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $1,108 · 14¢ → 13¢
• Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No · $423 · 83¢ → 94¢
• Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes · $20 · 16¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · -$9 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · -$68 · Oct 10, 2026
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes · +$136 · Sep 3, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No · -$245 · Aug 17, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes · +$37 · Jul 29, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No · +$40 · Jun 18, 2026
• Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · +$100 · May 20, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes · -$1 · Apr 8, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 25?Yes · +$6 · Feb 26, 2026
• Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes · -$4 · Jan 27, 2026

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