Menacing-Casement · Polymarket wallet 0x303c…4487

Wallet snapshot

Menacing-Casement has made 1,411 trades on Polymarket across 236 markets, $49K in volume. Most of it is in politics (56%) and sports (20%). On 236 resolved markets the win rate is 55.9%, lifetime P&L +$189. It holds no open positions right now. Last trade: Jan 27, 2026.

Latest closed positions

• US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes · -$111 · Feb 28, 2026
• US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Feb 28, 2026
• Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$21 · Feb 28, 2026
• Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Yes · -$5 · Jan 31, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?No · +$4 · Jan 27, 2026
• US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?No · +$12 · Jan 25, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?No · +$6 · Jan 25, 2026
• US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No · +$12 · Jan 24, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?No · +$0 · Jan 24, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?No · +$20 · Jan 21, 2026

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