ErgodicEntropy · Polymarket wallet 0x2f4c…93ee

Wallet snapshot

ErgodicEntropy has made 722 trades on Polymarket across 275 markets, $26K in volume. Most of it is in sports (70%) and geopolitics (11%). On 272 resolved markets the win rate is 64%, lifetime P&L +$59. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?". Last trade: Jun 17, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Yes · $1 · 33¢ → 4¢

Latest closed positions

• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No · +$19 · Jul 1, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No · -$20 · Jun 18, 2026
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$16 · Jun 17, 2026
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No · +$10 · Jun 17, 2026
• Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?No · +$14 · Jun 17, 2026
• Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?No · -$8 · Jun 11, 2026
• Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No · -$5 · Jun 11, 2026
• Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes · -$4 · Jun 3, 2026
• Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes · +$20 · Jun 3, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No · +$23 · Jun 2, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.