PlainAwareness · Polymarket wallet 0x2d4a…9893

Wallet snapshot

PlainAwareness has made 51 trades on Polymarket across 24 markets, $10K in volume. Most of it is in sports (39%) and geopolitics (35%). On 16 resolved markets the win rate is 56.3%, lifetime P&L -$182. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "JD Vance out as VP by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• JD Vance out as VP by December 31?No · $3 · 96¢ → 96¢
• UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No · $2 · 95¢ → 94¢

Latest closed positions

• Iran Nuke before 2027?No · +$1 · Jun 29, 2026
• Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5Yes · +$28 · Jun 6, 2026
• Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No · $0 · Jun 6, 2026
• Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 5.5No · +$38 · Jun 4, 2026
• Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No · -$1 · Jun 4, 2026
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?Yes · $0 · May 27, 2026
• Will Alberta join the US? Yes · $0 · May 26, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$1 · May 12, 2026
• Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)No · +$47 · Apr 30, 2026
• Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?No · -$31 · Apr 30, 2026

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