HotPotMot · Polymarket wallet 0x2cad…27a3

Wallet snapshot

HotPotMot has made 145 trades on Polymarket across 122 markets, $11K in volume. Most of it is in sports (39%) and crypto (12%). On 114 resolved markets the win rate is 72.8%, lifetime P&L +$30. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

• China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 83¢ → 93¢
• Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No · $2 · 89¢ → 98¢
• Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?Yes · $1 · 96¢ → 99¢
• Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?Yes · $1 · 88¢ → 60¢
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $1 · 96¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes · +$0 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes · +$0 · Aug 31, 2026
• Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on August 24?Yes · $0 · Aug 24, 2026
• Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes · -$1 · Aug 24, 2026
• Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Aug 1, 2026
• Livesport Prague Open (Doubles): Falkowska/Smith vs Chan/KatoNo · +$0 · Jul 23, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.