Polymarket wallet 0x2ca1…b440

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x2ca1…b440 has made 185 trades on Polymarket across 101 markets, $313 in volume. Most of it is in economics (17%) and geopolitics (9%). On 88 resolved markets the win rate is 55.7%, lifetime P&L +$6. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No · $1 · 78¢ → 93¢
• Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?Yes · $1 · 47¢ → 48¢
• Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?No · $1 · 68¢ → 67¢
• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?Yes · $1 · 37¢ → 34¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?Yes · $1 · 27¢ → 17¢
• Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?No · $1 · 78¢ → 48¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Yes · -$2 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?No · -$2 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?No · +$2 · Oct 7, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?No · -$2 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.