x404 · Polymarket wallet 0x282c…f007

Wallet snapshot

x404 has made 207 trades on Polymarket across 30 markets, $28K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (30%) and geopolitics (23%). On 30 resolved markets the win rate is 63.3%. It holds no open positions right now. Last trade: Mar 27, 2026.

Latest closed positions

• Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes · -$269 · Mar 27, 2026
• Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?No · +$65 · Mar 27, 2026
• Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes · +$25 · Jan 3, 2026
• US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No · +$39 · Dec 16, 2025
• Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?No · +$19 · Dec 10, 2025
• US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No · +$106 · Dec 1, 2025
• Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes · -$28 · Dec 1, 2025
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes · -$15 · Nov 30, 2025
• Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No · +$47 · Nov 25, 2025
• Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No · +$34 · Nov 25, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.