tt-4 · Polymarket wallet 0x2774…f0e9

56.8% win rate · 118 resolved markets · 0x2774d2f7ae96d5227f24f385cc3bc844012bf0e9

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Wallet snapshot

tt-4 has made 694 trades on Polymarket across 120 markets, $11K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (31%) and politics (16%). On 118 resolved markets the win rate is 56.8%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Oct 7, 2025.

Largest open positions

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $16 · 98¢ → 98¢
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $0 · 2¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes · -$1 · Jan 1, 2026
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No · -$11 · Oct 7, 2025
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes · -$6 · Oct 7, 2025
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes · -$2 · Oct 7, 2025
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No · +$1 · Oct 7, 2025
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No · +$6 · Oct 7, 2025
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?No · +$7 · Oct 7, 2025
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No · +$3 · Oct 7, 2025
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No · +$2 · Oct 7, 2025
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get less than 5m views on day 1?Yes · -$2 · Oct 7, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.