vesvegaa · Polymarket wallet 0x2499…96e6

Wallet snapshot

vesvegaa has made 181 trades on Polymarket across 132 markets, $2,423 in volume. Most of it is in politics (30%) and geopolitics (16%). On 115 resolved markets the win rate is 84.3%, lifetime P&L -$7. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 25, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $15 · 94¢ → 97¢
• Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?No · $12 · 96¢ → 97¢
• Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?No · $10 · 93¢ → 95¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes · $5 · 91¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No · +$2 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will GPT Sol 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $10 by June 30, 2027?Yes · +$2 · Sep 29, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No · +$1 · Sep 9, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 5, 2026
• Next Mythos-Class Model released by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by August 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 9, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 4, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No · +$1 · Aug 3, 2026
• Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No · +$1 · Aug 1, 2026

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