Thibaw · Polymarket wallet 0x2315…39b1

Wallet snapshot

Thibaw has made 916 trades on Polymarket across 531 markets, $5,172 in volume. Most of it is in sports (82%). On 498 resolved markets the win rate is 59.6%. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?". Last trade: Sep 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $12 · 5¢ → 14¢
• Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No · $10 · 88¢ → 100¢
• Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?No · $10 · 93¢ → 99¢
• Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No · $9 · 90¢ → 89¢
• Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $7 · 8¢ → 6¢
• Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $2 · 14¢ → 22¢
• Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes · $2 · 14¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CYes · +$3 · Sep 14, 2026
• Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · +$72 · Jul 12, 2026
• Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No · -$5 · Jul 7, 2026
• Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$1 · Jul 6, 2026
• Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$6 · Jul 6, 2026
• Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · -$0 · Jun 17, 2026
• Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.