lightning-964 · Polymarket wallet 0x224e…8bca

Wallet snapshot

lightning-964 has made 200 trades on Polymarket across 15 markets, $74K in volume. Most of it is in politics (47%) and geopolitics (27%). On 12 resolved markets the win rate is 75%, lifetime P&L -$1,274. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?". Last trade: Nov 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Yes · $1,358 · 50¢ → 38¢
• Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes · $858 · 65¢ → 66¢
• Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Yes · $16 · 20¢ → 16¢

Latest closed positions

• Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No · +$235 · Jan 1, 2026
• Xi Jinping out in 2025?No · +$898 · Jan 1, 2026
• Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes · -$2,744 · Apr 27, 2025
• Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Yes · +$49 · Mar 7, 2025
• RedNote removed from App Store in January?No · +$35 · Feb 2, 2025
• TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No · -$55 · Jan 22, 2025
• Was Trump hacked?No · +$49 · Jan 18, 2025
• Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?No · +$1 · Jan 1, 2025
• Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No · +$254 · Jan 1, 2025
• Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Yes · -$0 · Dec 14, 2024

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