bayesiangoldfish · Polymarket wallet 0x21da…baf5

Wallet snapshot

bayesiangoldfish has made 626 trades on Polymarket across 137 markets, $45K in volume. Most of it is in politics (45%) and geopolitics (26%). On 137 resolved markets the win rate is 74.5%. It holds no open positions right now. Last trade: Jan 22, 2025.

Latest closed positions

• Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?No · +$1 · Apr 30, 2025
• Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes · -$8 · Jan 22, 2025
• Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No · +$15 · Jan 22, 2025
• Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?No · +$2 · Jan 22, 2025
• Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?No · +$42 · Jan 22, 2025
• Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes · +$10 · Jan 22, 2025
• Will Biden pardon Trump?No · +$17 · Jan 22, 2025
• Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?No · -$48 · Jan 22, 2025
• Will Biden pardon SBF?No · +$23 · Jan 22, 2025
• Will Biden finish his term?Yes · +$3 · Jan 20, 2025

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