Smooth-Guilt · Polymarket wallet 0x203c…5fa4

Wallet snapshot

Smooth-Guilt has made 21 trades on Polymarket across 19 markets, $230 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (68%) and sports (16%). On 17 resolved markets the win rate is 70.6%, lifetime P&L -$2. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?". Last trade: Jun 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $7 · 99¢ → 100¢
• Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $6 · 98¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No · +$1 · May 1, 2026
• Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on January 5?No · -$94 · Jan 6, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETNo · +$97 · Nov 20, 2025
• Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes · -$5 · Nov 20, 2025
• Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on May 23?No · $0 · May 25, 2025
• Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $98000 on May 16?No · $0 · May 18, 2025
• Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on May 9?No · $0 · May 10, 2025
• Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?No · $0 · May 2, 2025
• Will Ethereum reach $2200 in April?No · $0 · May 2, 2025
• Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Apr 25?No · $0 · Apr 27, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.